Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.000775 0.000879 0.000989 0.001114 0.001251 0.001396 0.001562
2025-08-17 0.000602 0.000746 0.000908 0.001103 0.001331 0.001586 0.001893
2025-08-24 0.000494 0.000652 0.000838 0.001072 0.001355 0.001684 0.002092
2025-08-31 0.000413 0.000576 0.000777 0.001040 0.001368 0.001762 0.002264
2025-09-07 0.000361 0.000530 0.000746 0.001037 0.001411 0.001871 0.002470
2025-09-14 0.000321 0.000494 0.000722 0.001038 0.001455 0.001979 0.002676
2025-09-21 0.000283 0.000456 0.000692 0.001027 0.001482 0.002063 0.002852
2025-09-28 0.000249 0.000419 0.000659 0.001010 0.001496 0.002130 0.003004
2025-10-05 0.000233 0.000408 0.000660 0.001038 0.001570 0.002276 0.003262
2025-10-12 0.000217 0.000394 0.000657 0.001058 0.001633 0.002408 0.003503
2025-10-19 0.000195 0.000369 0.000634 0.001048 0.001654 0.002482 0.003668
2025-10-26 0.000174 0.000343 0.000609 0.001033 0.001665 0.002541 0.003813
2025-11-02 0.000161 0.000330 0.000602 0.001045 0.001716 0.002658 0.004042
2025-11-09 0.000147 0.000314 0.000589 0.001047 0.001751 0.002754 0.004244
2025-11-16 0.000128 0.000286 0.000556 0.001014 0.001733 0.002772 0.004334
2025-11-23 0.000112 0.000262 0.000525 0.000984 0.001716 0.002791 0.004427
2025-11-30 0.000102 0.000248 0.000512 0.000981 0.001741 0.002870 0.004605
2025-12-07 0.000093 0.000237 0.000502 0.000982 0.001771 0.002957 0.004796
2025-12-14 0.000084 0.000223 0.000486 0.000972 0.001784 0.003018 0.004950
2025-12-21 0.000075 0.000208 0.000467 0.000955 0.001784 0.003059 0.005075
2025-12-28 0.000072 0.000206 0.000473 0.000982 0.001856 0.003210 0.005366
2026-01-04 0.000069 0.000202 0.000474 0.001001 0.001914 0.003343 0.005632
2026-01-11 0.000062 0.000191 0.000460 0.000992 0.001926 0.003403 0.005789